Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.146088 0.214019 0.292133 0.386189 0.494287 0.612881 0.751203
2025-11-23 0.051506 0.124998 0.228133 0.369175 0.546622 0.754597 1.009971
2025-11-30 0.021191 0.090262 0.206033 0.378849 0.608141 0.886416 1.236797
2025-12-07 0.004727 0.060193 0.179159 0.374174 0.646230 0.986643 1.424334
2025-12-14 NaN 0.035277 0.148968 0.356677 0.661566 1.054238 1.568778
2025-12-21 NaN 0.029161 0.150783 0.385745 0.738881 1.199522 1.808044
2025-12-28 NaN 0.024492 0.153500 0.415204 0.816224 1.344663 2.047200
2026-01-04 NaN 0.018058 0.148598 0.430549 0.872769 1.462451 2.252159
2026-01-11 NaN 0.017079 0.158146 0.470556 0.964890 1.626970 2.516015
2026-01-18 NaN 0.014575 0.161793 0.499809 1.041270 1.770863 2.754154
2026-01-25 NaN 0.009201 0.151959 0.503498 1.079394 1.863803 2.927813
2026-02-01 NaN 0.002552 0.124816 0.471072 1.061452 1.880583 3.003783
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000002 0.095699 0.430361 1.030518 1.881769 3.063762
2026-02-15 NaN NaN 0.081090 0.416495 1.039974 1.937540 3.194168
2026-02-22 NaN NaN 0.077146 0.425694 1.085742 2.043037 3.388744
2026-03-01 NaN NaN 0.068183 0.421010 1.108132 2.115612 3.540233
2026-03-08 NaN NaN 0.055072 0.402295 1.105738 2.152483 3.644277
2026-03-15 NaN NaN 0.059986 0.433266 1.187560 2.308920 3.906261
2026-03-22 NaN NaN 0.064996 0.464563 1.270047 2.466458 4.169922
2026-03-29 NaN NaN 0.064747 0.480845 1.326970 2.587745 4.385849
2026-04-05 NaN NaN 0.073570 0.523219 1.428623 2.772882 4.686426
2026-04-12 NaN NaN 0.078390 0.554145 1.510789 2.930399 4.950663
2026-04-19 NaN NaN 0.073784 0.558041 1.546804 3.022302 5.128281